QUEZON CITY (October 10, 2025) — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) confirmed that La Niña conditions are now present in the tropical Pacific, signaling a higher likelihood of wetter months ahead for the country.
According to PAGASA, cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific that began in August 2025 have strengthened, reaching the La Niña threshold of -0.5°C in September. The phenomenon is expected to persist until early 2026, particularly through the December to February (DJF) season, based on climate model projections.
With La Niña now in effect, PAGASA warns that above-normal rainfall is likely from October 2025 to February 2026, especially in eastern sections of the Philippines. The agency also cautions that the increased rainfall could bring flooding, flash floods, and rain-induced landslides in vulnerable areas.
The weather bureau noted that the current pattern could also lead to more frequent tropical cyclones within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), further intensifying wet conditions across the archipelago.
PAGASA assured the public that it will continue to closely monitor weather and climate developments, urging communities and government agencies to stay alert and regularly follow official updates.
Source: Data from PAGASA – DOST (October 2025)
