The odds of Bitcoin’s mysterious creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, moving any of their Bitcoin holdings in 2025 saw a sudden surge on Polymarket, a popular cryptocurrency prediction platform.
On October 15, the market for the question “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?” spiked sharply — jumping to 15% before quickly crashing back down to 5%. The brief but intense swing caused significant losses for several traders who had bet on Satoshi becoming active this year.
According to Polymarket data, one trader reportedly wagered over $13,000 on “Yes,” expecting Nakamoto to transfer Bitcoin in 2025. The value of that position later dropped by nearly 46%, resulting in an estimated $11,000 loss. Another trader faced an even larger setback, losing about $16,500 after the odds collapsed.
The sudden volatility highlights the continued fascination — and speculation — surrounding Satoshi Nakamoto, whose identity remains one of the greatest mysteries in the crypto world.
Disclaimer:
This article is for news and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment guidance, or betting recommendations. Cryptocurrency and prediction market activities involve risk. Readers are advised to conduct their own research and exercise caution when participating in such markets.


